Quiet heading into the Holiday..Or Is it?

After a few weeks of active weather battering our coastlines and displacing many from their homes and daily routines, the weather has quieted down dramatically and will continue to be quiet through early next week. It’s a very important travel week with the Thanksgiving Holiday on Thursday, so I try to leave all possibilities open. For now though, High pressure remains situated and will continue to do so off to our WSW blocking any moisture from coming in and giving a seasonable to a bit below seasonable flow from the  WNW.  There will be clouds from time to time and a slight increase in them as each day goes on from Saturday through Wednesday. Also, temperatures will moderate a BIT each day. It appears as though the entire period will remain dry. Afternoon breezes are possible, especially to the S &E.

If you remember earlier this week, I had mentioned a potential storm around thanksgiving, well, models and more importantly our Jet stream is forecast to be much flatter and a huge High Pressure system to the northeast of Southern New England looks to be in control per latest guidance. That Cold High (Heavy air) should win the battle with building moisture off the SE Coast of The United States trying to gather, form and push north.  If that High Pressure system does establish itself as forecast off the the northeast , you can forget about any storm coming this far north to have any direct effects on our area , it simply wont win that battle. Though If that high settles in a bit more west of its current Forecast, a shift closer to the coast most definitely could occur. For many though this is welcome news as many will travel in order to make it to their Thanksgiving destinations and quiet weather will be a welcome sight and as off now that is what we are likely to see. Though it remains a pattern that looks like it could QUICKLY change and at any time support a closer pass to the coast with a building Greenland Block by around Tuesday.
 The North Atlantic Oscillation  (NAO) forecast is now sending out mixed signals between a Positive and Negative phase slated right around the holiday which often sends guidance into an erratic frenzy, and this is why I continue to be reluctant not to toss this storm in the Atlantic Ocean just yet. I also believe it is the right decision due to the importantcy of travel next week to keep all doors of possibility open.
 Please stay tuned for further information on this potential which would look to carry a cold rain and wind if it were to pass close enough. Possibly even some snowfall to the interior. As of now , the trend is just some clouds, steady onshore flow , minor splash over on the coast and erosion, large surf,  and clouds and fog even if the storm does not impact us head on. Hopefully it stays quiet and dry for Turkey Day, and then weather lovers can really start to prepare for what may be a wild ride in December. Thanks for reading and do have a great weekend !     ~Anthony