*New Post* All quiet Now...End of the Month, Not so much!

In an interesting development over the past few days, models have quietly geared towards what could be a tropical system that comes dangerously close to affecting portions of the east coast with interest from Florida to Southern New England. It would be a storm caught up in between changing upper level pattern and  teleconnections that favor a storm that would hug the east coast and perhaps perform a ballerina act some where near the Mid-Atlantic to SNE due to strong negative North Atlantic Oscillation and strong blocking near Greenland . This is something we definitely need to keep an eye on all this upcoming week. Of course we know that the hurricane season does not end until November 30th. Important to keep in mind that the majority of storms this late in the season tend to take a big hit by strong westerlies and get stunted out to sea and not even come close to a threat. Westerly influence would have NOTHING on what the pattern and teleconnections along with the coincidental formation of a negative tilted trough that could take a storm that would seem a bit to far east for effects to retrograde to the west dangerously close . It seems to be becoming increasingly possible that at least some coastal effects will be felt from a time frame from as early as Oct 27th to as late as Nov 2nd and perhaps something much greater. There is no current imminent threat though certainly no laughing matter at this point. Below is just one model loop I created from the GFS model and Surface Sea Level pressure. Stay tuned all week for the very latest on this potential hazard